Market Radar October 2026: Two Cars, Both White – the Range Now Reads $300,000 to $500,000

In September we had a record of $320,000 and a refused bid of $180,000. This month, as of 26 October 2026, supply has shrunk further – and for the first time the question "what does this car cost?" can no longer be answered with one number. There are two.

What's for sale worldwide: two cars, both Carrara White

1. The 2013 with the red leather – $499,995. Ryan Friedman Motor Cars, Glen Cove, New York. Carrara White over Carrera Red natural leather, 9,173 miles, model year 2013 – the last one. Full aerokit painted in body colour, Sport Chrono Package, ventilated and heated seats, SportDesign steering wheel, Bi-Xenon with PDLS, 19-inch Turbo II wheels, clear glass tail lights, clean Carfax. Original MSRP $152,690.¹

In July this car still carried "price on request". Since October it carries a number, and the number is $499,995. The dealer positions it as one of roughly 15 North American 2013 manual coupés and the only one in this colour combination – claims we cannot independently verify, but which fit the structure of that model year.

2. The 2010 with 14,501 miles – $299,998. HBi Auto, Mocksville, North Carolina. Carrara White as well, black full leather, Sport Chrono Package with dynamic engine mounts, adaptive sport seats with memory, seat backs painted in body colour, contrast stitching on dashboard, doors and side panels, Guards Red seatbelts, heated seats and steering wheel, Porsche crests in the headrests. Original MSRP $147,590.²

We know this car from September – then priced at $349,998. On 21 October the dealer moved it to $299,998, i.e. $50,000 down.

We say that plainly, because it belongs in the record: this is the first price reduction we have documented in this format. It is not a market signal, though, but an opening price being adjusted. Pricing a car for which there is no second comparable listing anywhere in the world means pricing without a guardrail, and you start high. After six weeks without a deal, a correction is the normal response – and even after it, the ask still sits 71 percent above the market index.

So the currently available asking range reads: $299,998 to $499,995. Two cars. Worldwide. Both in the US, both white.

What has disappeared

The silver 2012 from Velocity is gone. 34,400 miles, last asking $245,000, on the market since April – since 23 October classic.com lists it as "last asking", i.e. off market. No closing price was published.³

In September we wrote that after the $320,000 record this was "the cheapest good example available anywhere in the world". Four weeks later it is off the market. Whether sold or withdrawn isn't stated – but after five months of standing still, and at exactly the moment the market around it moved, the first reading is the more likely one.

The sale of the month: $166,997 – and why it wasn't a bargain

On 3 October a 2011 changed hands on Bring a Trailer for $166,997: black on black, 47,000 miles, Culver City, California.⁴

At first glance that looks suspiciously cheap – four weeks after a $320,000 hammer. At second glance it isn't, and that cuts both ways:

The car is not a problem example. It has the Sport Chrono Package Plus with dynamic engine mounts, PTV with a mechanical limited-slip rear differential, Michelin Pilot Sport 4S fitted fresh in January 2026 on the original 19-inch Turbo IIs, a verified odometer, and a 2024–2026 service record that is genuinely thorough: drive belt and tensioner, ignition coils, spark plugs, front struts, brake fluid, transaxle and differential fluids, last oil change April 2026. A Porsche Classic Technical Certificate documents production date, original colours and factory equipment. classic.com rates it "original and highly original".

The difference from the $320,000 cars is not a difference in quality. It is mileage – 47,000 against 23,000 – and a colour combination that stirs nobody. Black on black is the opposite of Ice Blue over Sea Blue.

That is exactly why this sale is instructive: it marks not the market's weakness but its floor. For $166,997 you get the most anonymous, most-driven honest 997.2 Turbo manual there is. That is an outstanding car to actually drive – and two years ago it was the price level for the good examples.

What this means for our September forecast

We wrote that a good car would no longer be found under $200,000 in 2027. This sale is the first serious test of that, and we don't want to talk it away: a documented, accident-free car under 100,000 km went for $166,997 in October 2026.

We stand by the forecast – but sharpen it. The sub-$200,000 zone still exists, and it now belongs exclusively to the highest-mileage cars. The four documented 2026 sales below $180,000 had 37,000, 46,000, 47,000 and 74,000 miles. The ones above $230,000 had 23,000, 25,000 and 26,000. The line runs through the odometer, not through quality – and it is moving.

Europe: unchanged, empty

Not a single 997.2 Turbo coupé with a manual gearbox – neither on mobile.de nor on Elferspot. What Elferspot shows under 997.2 is Turbo S cars (PDK throughout) and the American Friedman car without a price.⁵

That is now the sixth month in a row. Anyone waiting for a European listing is not waiting for a good moment but for an event that statistically barely happens any more. More on that in “How Many Are There Really?”.

The numbers

classic.com, category 997.2 · Turbo · Coupé · Manual, as of 26 October 2026:⁶

Metric	Value
Market index (CMB) – volatility-adjusted, the current level	$174,389 (September: $175,567)
Average of the last 12 months – from 8 documented sales	$199,518
Asking prices of the two available cars	$299,998 and $499,995
Highest documented sale (16 Sep 2026)	$320,000
Most recent sale (3 Oct 2026, 47,000 miles)	$166,997
⚠️ Mean of every sale ever recorded since 2015 – not today's level	~$150,600

At $174,389 the index has barely moved – it gives back around $1,200 against September because the $166,997 sale entered the calculation. That is arithmetic, not a turning point: a single sale at the bottom inevitably nudges an index built on eight annual sales downward, while at the same time the asking prices of the available cars have climbed to $300,000–$500,000.

That is the real picture for October: the gap between what was last paid and what is being asked today is wider than ever. Supply and demand are no longer meeting in the middle, because there is no middle left.

A correction on our part

In the September Market Radar we wrote that the classic.com row for Friedman's white 2013 was stale and that the car had sold. The basis was that it did not appear in the dealer's online inventory. That was wrong. The car was for sale throughout and has carried a price since October. We have corrected the September issue accordingly.

Our take for October

• The price question has two answers. An honest, driven car sits at $167,000–$200,000. A collector car with low mileage and a special specification sits at $300,000–$500,000. There is nothing in between right now – because there is nothing.
• Mileage is the new dividing line, not condition and not options. If you want to drive, buy the car with miles on purpose and pay considerably less.
• The floor is rising. $166,997 for a 47,000-mile car was the price for the very best examples two years ago.
• Two cars worldwide. There isn't much more to say about scarcity.

Next Market Radar: end of November.

Read on: Market Radar September 2026 · Value Trajectory 2015–2026 · How Many Are There Really? · Collector Spec Guide

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Sources

Snapshot of the open market on 26 October 2026; listings and prices change daily. Asking prices are not achieved sale prices; dealer and platform claims (e.g. production figures) are not independently verified. This is a fan site with personal, enthusiast opinion – not investment advice.

Footnotes

1. classic.com – individual vehicle VIN WP0AD2A93DS766235 (2013, Carrara White / Carrera Red natural leather, 9,173 mi, full aerokit in body colour, Sport Chrono, ventilated/heated seats, SportDesign steering wheel, Bi-Xenon PDLS, MSRP $152,690), Ryan Friedman Motor Cars, Glen Cove (NY), asking $499,995, listed since 29 Jul 2026. Rarity claims ("one of roughly 15 North American 2013 manuals", "only coupé in this colour combination") come from the seller or classic.com's AI-generated "Key Insights" and are not independently verified. Accessed 26 Oct 2026. [C] – https://www.classic.com/veh/2013-porsche-911-turbo-wp0ad2a93ds766235-n2eLqo4/ ↩

2. classic.com – individual vehicle VIN WP0AD2A99AS766204 (2010, Carrara White / black full leather, 14,501 mi, Sport Chrono with dynamic engine mounts, adaptive sport seats with memory, seat backs in body colour, Guards Red belts, MSRP $147,590), HBi Auto, Mocksville (NC), asking $299,998, listing updated 21 Oct 2026; in September 2026 the ask was $349,998. Accessed 26 Oct 2026. [C] – https://www.classic.com/veh/2010-porsche-911-turbo-wp0ad2a99as766204-nmqlMKn/ ↩

3. classic.com – individual vehicle VIN WP0AD2A92CS766287 (2012, Platinum Silver, 34,400 mi), Velocity, Los Angeles; listed as "last asking" since 23 Oct 2026, i.e. off the open market; no closing price shown. Last ask $245,000. Accessed 26 Oct 2026. [C] – https://www.classic.com/veh/2012-porsche-911-turbo-wp0ad2a92cs766287-n2rqL6n/ ↩

4. classic.com – individual vehicle VIN WP0AD2A91BS766540 (2011, black/black, 47,000 mi, Sport Chrono Plus with dynamic engine mounts, PTV with mechanical LSD, Michelin Pilot Sport 4S from 01/2026, 2024–2026 service incl. drive belt and tensioner, ignition coils, spark plugs, front struts, brake, transaxle and differential fluids, Porsche Classic Technical Certificate); sold on 3 Oct 2026 for $166,997 via Bring a Trailer, Culver City (CA). Equipment and history details from the listing or AI-generated "Key Insights", not independently verified. Accessed 26 Oct 2026. [C] – https://www.classic.com/veh/2011-porsche-911-turbo-wp0ad2a91bs766540-4VbjlE4/ ↩

5. Own market observation on 26 Oct 2026: no 997.2 Turbo coupé with a manual gearbox on mobile.de; under "997 Turbo" Elferspot lists, for the 997.2, only Turbo S cars (PDK) plus the US car from Ryan Friedman without a price. [C] – https://www.elferspot.com/en/find/porsche-997-turbo-for-sale/ ↩

6. classic.com – market "Porsche 911 Turbo Coupe – Manual – 997.2": CMB $174,389; 2 cars for sale; twelve-month window: average $199,518, 8 sales, $1,596,141 volume, lowest sale $124,147 (RUF conversion, Germany, 02/2026), highest sale $320,000, most recent sale $166,997. Mileages of the 2026 sales below $180,000: 37,000, 46,000, 47,000 and 74,000 miles; of those above $230,000: 23,000, 25,000 and 26,000 miles. Accessed 26 Oct 2026. [C] – https://www.classic.com/m/porsche/911/997/9972/turbo/coupe-manual/ ↩